Government and politics of china pols 442/sisea 449

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Studying the Chinese case How can comparative theory help us understand

Studying the Chinese case

How can comparative theory help us understand China

better?
What does China tell us about important comparative theoretical questions?
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The Chinese case in comparative context Theoretical puzzles Authoritarian resilience Political institutions and economic growth

The Chinese case in comparative context

Theoretical puzzles
Authoritarian resilience
Political institutions and economic

growth
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Theoretical puzzle 1 How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Challenge

Theoretical puzzle 1

How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?
Challenge to modernization

theory
Economic development, education, urbanization, emergence of middle class
? associated with democratization
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political institutions

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political institutions matter:
Regime

type Percent surviving as of 1998*
Military 11
Personalistic 16
Single party 50
*regimes existing or formed since 1946
Source: Barbara Geddes, “What Do We Know About Democratization?”
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political institutions

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political institutions
In single-party

regimes
Allow participation and popular influence without giving up party’s dominant role in the political system
This course? part 2
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? How big

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

How big a

threat is factionalism to the CCP regime?
China perspective:

Ousted Chongqing Party Secretary Bo Xilai

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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? How big

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

How big a

threat is factionalism to the CCP regime?
Comparative theory:
In single-party regimes,
factions
strong incentives to cooperate in order to maintain power
less threatening to regime stability than in other types of authoritarian regimes
This course? part 1
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? How big

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

How big a

threat is factionalism to the CCP regime?
China perspective:

Ousted Chongqing Party Secretary Bo Xilai

Premier Wen Jiabao pledged to investigate and warned that if political reforms were not implemented, China risked a new Cultural Revolution.

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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? How big

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

How big a

threat is factionalism to the CCP regime?
Political history matters:
How did factional politics play out during the Cultural Revolution, 1966-1976?
This course? part 1
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political beliefs

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political beliefs matter:

Survey of 3,183 PRC residents
What is democratic Percent
Legitimacy? Responding
Procedural 25
Substantive* 14
Mixed 5
Incoherent 15
Don’t know 42
*Substantive: refers to the Confucian notion of “minben” (民本)
Source: Shijian Tian & Jie Lu, “The Shadow of Confucianism”
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political beliefs

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political beliefs matter:

Survey of 3,183 PRC residents
What is democratic Percent
Legitimacy? Responding
Procedural 25 ? potential challenge to regime
Substantive* 14
Mixed 5
Incoherent 15
Don’t know 42
*Substantive: refers to the Confucian notion of “minben” (民本)
Source: Shijian Tian & Jie Lu, “The Shadow of Confucianism”
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political beliefs

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political beliefs and

political history matter
Confucian notion of minben
“Rulership should be entrusted to those with superior knowledge and virtue”
Legitimacy is defined by substance: how well the regime performs and cares for its people
“Ordinary citizens have the right to participate only under extreme conditions—if a rule loses the “Mandate of Heaven”
This course ? Part 1
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political beliefs

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political beliefs matter:

Survey of 3,183 PRC residents
What is democratic Percent
Legitimacy? Responding
Procedural 25
Substantive* 14 ? potential support for regime
Mixed 5
Incoherent 15
Don’t know 42
*Substantive: refers to the Confucian notion of “minben” (民本)
Source: Shijian Tian & Jie Lu, “The Shadow of Confucianism”
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Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power? Political beliefs

Theoretical puzzle: How do authoritarian regimes stay in power?

Political beliefs matter:

Survey of 3,183 PRC residents
What is democratic Percent
Legitimacy? Responding
Procedural 25
Substantive* 14
Mixed 5
Incoherent 15
Don’t know 42 ? not threatening for regime
*Substantive: refers to the Confucian notion of “minben” (民本)
Source: Shijian Tian & Jie Lu, “The Shadow of Confucianism”