Содержание
- 2. 7– Where We Are Now
- 3. 7– Risk Management Process Risk Uncertain or chance events that planning can not overcome or control.
- 4. 7– The Risk Event Graph FIGURE 7.1
- 5. 7– Risk Management’s Benefits A proactive rather than reactive approach. Reduces surprises and negative consequences. Prepares
- 6. 7– The Risk Management Process FIGURE 7.2
- 7. 7– Managing Risk Step 1: Risk Identification Generate a list of possible risks through brainstorming, problem
- 8. 7– The Risk Breakdown Structure (RBS) FIGURE 7.3
- 9. 7– Partial Risk Profile for Product Development Project FIGURE 7.4
- 10. 7– Defined Conditions for Impact Scales of a Risk on Major Project Objectives (Examples for negative
- 11. 7– Risk Assessment Form FIGURE 7.6 Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) Impact × Probability ×
- 12. 7– Risk Severity Matrix FIGURE 7.7 Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) Impact × Probability ×
- 13. 7– Managing Risk (cont’d) Step 3: Risk Response Development Mitigating Risk Reducing the likelihood an adverse
- 14. 7– Contingency Planning Contingency Plan An alternative plan that will be used if a possible foreseen
- 15. 7– Risk and Contingency Planning Technical Risks Backup strategies if chosen technology fails. Assessing whether technical
- 16. 7– Risk Response Matrix FIGURE 7.8
- 17. 7– Risk and Contingency Planning (cont’d) Costs Risks Time/cost dependency links: costs increase when problems take
- 18. 7– Opportunity Management Tactics Exploit Seeking to eliminate the uncertainty associated with an opportunity to ensure
- 19. 7– Contingency Funding and Time Buffers Contingency Funds Funds to cover project risks—identified and unknown. Size
- 20. 7– Contingency Fund Estimate ($000s) TABLE 7.1
- 21. 7– Managing Risk (cont’d) Step 4: Risk Response Control Risk control Execution of the risk response
- 22. 7– Change Management Control Sources of Change Project scope changes Implementation of contingency plans Improvement changes
- 23. 7– Change Control System Process Identify proposed changes. List expected effects of proposed changes on schedule
- 24. 7– The Change Control Process FIGURE 7.9
- 25. 7– Benefits of a Change Control System Inconsequential changes are discouraged by the formal process. Costs
- 26. 7– Sample Change Request Form FIGURE 7.10
- 27. 7– Change Request Log FIGURE 7.11
- 28. 7– Key Terms Avoiding risk Budget reserve Change management system Contingency plan Management reserve Mitigating risk
- 29. Appendix 7.1 PERT and PERT Simulation
- 30. 7– PERT—Program Evaluation Review Technique Assumes each activity duration has a range that statistically follows a
- 31. 7– Activity and Project Frequency Distributions FIGURE A7.1
- 32. 7– Activity Time Calculations
- 33. 7– Activity Time Calculations (cont’d)
- 34. 7– Activity Times and Variances TABLE A7.1
- 35. 7– Probability of Completing the Project
- 36. 7– Hypothetical Network FIGURE A7.2
- 37. 7– Hypothetical Network (cont’d) FIGURE A7.2 (cont’d)
- 38. 7– Possible Project Duration FIGURE A7.3
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