Global imbalances after 2008

Слайд 2

STRUCTURE Gross domestic product Employment and unemployment Current account imbalances Misaligned

STRUCTURE

Gross domestic product
Employment and unemployment
Current account imbalances
Misaligned exchange rates
Interest rates, volatile

capital flows and exchange rate instability
Financial liberalization and the financialization of commodity markets
Global rebalancing and recovery contributions
Слайд 3

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT The fast shifting balance in the world economy

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

The fast shifting balance in the world economy is

reflected in the decline in the share of developed countries in global gross domestic product (GDP).
Слайд 4

EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT The lasting labour market impact in major developed

EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT

The lasting labour market impact in major developed countries

poses fresh challenges and risks to the continuation of positive runs in job creation and poverty reduction in the developing world.
Слайд 5

CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES Current account imbalances may arise for a number

CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES

Current account imbalances may arise for a number of

reasons and are not indicative per se of a systemic problem that needs coordinated intervention. Rather, it is the loss of competitiveness at the national level that causes an unsustainable current account deficit.
Слайд 6

MISALIGNED EXCHANGE RATES Since the end of the multilateral Bretton Woods

MISALIGNED EXCHANGE RATES

Since the end of the multilateral Bretton Woods exchange

rate system, non-orderly floating of currencies has prevailed, featuring large exchange rate swings and persistent misalignments.
Слайд 7

INTEREST RATES, VOLATILE CAPITAL FLOWS AND EXCHANGE RATE INSTABILITY In the

INTEREST RATES, VOLATILE CAPITAL FLOWS AND EXCHANGE RATE INSTABILITY

In the absence

of proper global governance, global finance has become dominated by herd-like short-term risk-reward calculations that may ignore the gradual build-up of economic imbalances and related financial fragilities for a long time. 
Слайд 8

FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION AND THE FINANCIALIZATION OF COMMODITY MARKETS Greater market transparency

FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION AND THE FINANCIALIZATION OF COMMODITY MARKETS

Greater market transparency and

tighter regulatory measures are called for to contain the price impact of financial investors and the associated risk of price bubbles.
Слайд 9

GLOBAL REBALANCING AND RECOVERY CONTRIBUTIONS Developing countries at large have contributed

GLOBAL REBALANCING AND RECOVERY CONTRIBUTIONS

Developing countries at large have contributed disproportionately

to global rebalancing and recovery, while an increasing number of them have reached the point where rising current account deficits signal future risks of fragility and crisis.