The science of macroeconomics

Содержание

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Literature N.Gragory Mankiw MACROECONOMICS. 8TH EDITION, 2014. http://www.slideshare.net/RMA03/mankiw-macroeconomics-8th-edition Additional reading: Abel

Literature
N.Gragory Mankiw MACROECONOMICS. 8TH EDITION, 2014.
http://www.slideshare.net/RMA03/mankiw-macroeconomics-8th-edition
Additional reading:
Abel Bernanke. Introduction to

macroeconomics. (2008). 6 edition.
McConnell Campbell R., Brue Stanley L.
(2008) Macroeconomics: Principles, Problems,
and Policies. 17th ed. — New York: McGraw-
Hill/Irwin, 2008. — 488 p.
Burda, M. and Wyplosz, C. (2009),
Macroeconomics (fifth edition)
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Part I Introduction 1 1 The Science of Macroeconomics 2 The

Part I Introduction 1
1 The Science of Macroeconomics
2 The Data of

Macroeconomics
Part II Classical Theory: The Economy in the Long Run
3 National Income
4 The Monetary System
5 Inflation
6 The Open Economy
7 Unemployment

3. HOW THIS COURSE PROCEEDS

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Part III Growth Theory: The Economy in the Very Long Run

Part III Growth Theory: The Economy in the Very Long Run
8

Economic Growth I
9 Economic Growth II
Part IV Business Cycle Theory: The Economy in the Short Run
10 Introduction to Economic Fluctuations
11 Aggregate Demand I
12 Aggregate Demand II
13 The Open Economy Revisited
14 Aggregate Supply and Tradeoff Between Inflation and Unemployment

3. HOW THIS COURSE PROCEEDS

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WHAT MACROECONOMISTS STUDY HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

WHAT MACROECONOMISTS STUDY
HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

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Macroeconomics is the part of the field which studies the forces

Macroeconomics is the part of the field which studies the forces

that influence the economy as a whole.
Macroeconomists
collect data,
attempt to formulate general theories to explain these data,
use the data to observe that economies differ across countries.
Their knowledge is useful both
for explaining economic events and for formulating economic policy.

1. WHAT MACROECONOMISTS STUDY

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Low unemployment Low and stable inflation Minimal domestic economic fluctuations Minimal

Low unemployment
Low and stable inflation
Minimal domestic economic fluctuations
Minimal international economic fluctuations
High

rates of economic growth
Wise economic policy,
which consists of governmental and non-governmental efforts to
influence the other five goals.

MOST MACROECONOMISTS ARE INTERESTED IN 6 MAJOR GOALS:

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1. The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy Three macroeconomic variables

1. The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy

Three macroeconomic variables are

especially important:
GDP
Real GDP (real gross domestic product)
measures the total income of everyone in the economy (adjusted for the level of prices),
real GDP per person
measures the income of the average person in the economy.
The inflation rate
measures how fast prices are rising.
The unemployment rate
measures the fraction of the labor force that is out of work.
Macroeconomists study
how these variables are determined,
why they change over time, and
how they interact with one another.
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Real GDP per person The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy

Real GDP per person

The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy

Periods during

which real GDP falls are called
recessions if they are mild and
depressions if they are more severe.

It grows over time.
The growth is not steady.
There are some repeated periods of fall.

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GDP in Kazakhstan

GDP in Kazakhstan

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The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy Recessions and depressions are

The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy

Recessions and depressions are associated

with unusually high unemployment.

Percent
unemployed

It has no long-term trend
It varies substantially

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Unemployment in Kazakhstan

Unemployment in Kazakhstan

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The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy Periods of falling prices,

The Historical Performance of the U.S. Economy

Periods of falling prices, called

deflation,
were almost as common as periods of rising prices.

It has no long-term trend
& varies substantially

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Inflation in Kazakhstan

Inflation in Kazakhstan

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MACROECONOMICS is a science. Macroeconomists use models. Models are simplified theories

MACROECONOMICS is a science.
Macroeconomists use models.
Models are simplified theories that


show the key relationships among economic variables.
The exogenous variables are those that come from outside the model.
The endogenous variables are those that the model explains.
The model shows how changes in the exogenous variables affect the endogenous variables.

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

out

in

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2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK Price of pizza, P Quantity of pizza,

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Price of pizza, P

Quantity of pizza, Q

Demand

Supply

Market

equilibrium

Equilibrium quantity

Equilibrium price

The Model of Supply and Demand

 

 

 

Exogenous
Endogenous

The demand curve is
a downward-sloping curve relating
the price of pizza to
the quantity of pizza
that consumers demand.

The supply curve is
an upward-sloping curve relating
the price of pizza to
the quantity of pizza
that pizzerias supply

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2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK Price of pizza, P Quantity of pizza,

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Price of pizza, P

Quantity of pizza, Q

D1

S1

(a)

A Shift in Demand

D2

Q1

Q2

P1

P2

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

Y ↑

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2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK Price of pizza, P Quantity of pizza,

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Price of pizza, P

Quantity of pizza, Q

D1

S1

(b)

A Shift in Supply

Q1

Q2

P1

P2

S2

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

 

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USING FUNCTIONS A function is a mathematical concept that shows how

 

USING FUNCTIONS

A function is a mathematical concept that
shows how

one variable depends on a
set of other variables.
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Economists must Make assumptions and Judge whether they are reasonable for

Economists must
Make assumptions and
Judge whether they are reasonable for studying.

2

HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

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The assumption that markets are normally in equilibrium is called Market

The assumption that
markets are normally in equilibrium
is called Market

– CLEARING (M-C) .
The continuous M-C is not entirely realistic.

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

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Microeconomics is the study of how households and firms make decisions

Microeconomics is the study of
how households and firms make decisions


households choose their purchases
to maximize their level of satisfaction,
which economists call utility
firms make production decisions
to maximize their profits.
how these decision makers interact in the marketplace.
A central principle is
that households and firms optimize —
they do the best they can for themselves

2 HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

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Macroeconomics and microeconomics are inextricably linked. Although microeconomic decisions underlie macroeconomic

Macroeconomics and microeconomics are inextricably linked.
Although
microeconomic decisions underlie macroeconomic phenomena,


macroeconomic models DO NOT NECESSARILY focus on
the optimizing behavior of households and firms.

2. HOW ECONOMISTS THINK

Theory as Model Building
The Use of Multiple Models
Prices: Flexible Versus sticky
Microeconomic Thinking and Macroeconomic Model

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The winner of the Nobel Prize in economics is announced every

The winner of the Nobel Prize in economics is announced every

October.
Many winners have been macroeconomists whose work we study.
Here are a few of them:
Milton Friedman (Nobel 1976)
James Tobin (Nobel 1981)
Robert Solow (Nobel 1987)
Robert Lucas (Nobel 1995)
George Akerlof (Nobel 2001)
Edmund Phelps (Nobel 2006)

NOBEL MACROECON0MICS

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S U M M A R Y Macroeconomics is the study

S U M M A R Y

Macroeconomics is the study

of the economy as
a whole.
Economists use models — theories that simplify reality in order to reveal how
exogenous variables influence
endogenous variables.
A key feature of a macroeconomic model is whether it assumes that prices are
flexible or
sticky.
Microeconomics is the study of
how firms and individuals make decisions and
how these decision makers interact.