Содержание

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1 1989 1983 1941.Klivlend 1997.QATAR 1961. The first deliveries from Algeria

1

1989

1983

1941.Klivlend

1997.QATAR

1961. The first deliveries from Algeria

1917.Virzhiniya

1959.T he first transatlantic delivery

1969.

USA -JAPAN

1972. The origin of the Asian market. Bruney

1980. USA-Company "Sonatrach"

THE HISTORY

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2 TECHNOLOGY

2

TECHNOLOGY

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2 TECHNOLOGY liquefaction at t°→ -163° Security ignition temperature +540 °

2

TECHNOLOGY

liquefaction at t°→ -163°
Security
ignition temperature +540 °
lammation at a concentration of

fumes
5% - 15% p = 0,41; 0,5 kg /l
Energy value is equal to the energy value of diesel fuel
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Сжижение 2 liquefaction

Сжижение

2

liquefaction

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Терминалы 2 TERMINALS

Терминалы

2

TERMINALS

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Cost of LNG

Cost of LNG

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Стоимость завода по сжижению – не менее $1,5 млрд. приемного терминала

Стоимость
завода по сжижению – не менее $1,5 млрд.
приемного

терминала – не менее $1 млрд.
танкера – $200 – 300 млн.
Контракты заключаются на 20-25 лет.
Наблюдается эффект замещения нефти
DES FOB

Коммерческие аспекты

3

Удельная себестоимость производства СПГ
долл./тонна

1990 – рынок покупателей. 2000 – рынок продавцов (альтернативы поставок, арбитраж).

Commercial aspects

Удельная себестоимость производства СПГ
долл./тонна

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Basic characteristics of markets major markets volumes exports imports trade flows Price

Basic characteristics of markets

major markets volumes exports imports trade flows Price

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Основные рынки СПГ 2 4 THE MAJOR MARKETS OF LNG The

Основные рынки СПГ

2

4

THE MAJOR MARKETS OF LNG

The North American market The European

market Asian Market
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5 Volumes of supplies, and participants 2005-2012

5

Volumes of supplies, and participants 2005-2012

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5 Short-term trading 1992-2007

5

Short-term trading 1992-2007

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6 MAJOR EXPORTERS

6

MAJOR EXPORTERS

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6 Major exporters Qatar, Indonesia, Malaysia, Algeria, Australia

6

Major exporters

Qatar, Indonesia, Malaysia, Algeria, Australia

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7 MAJOR IMPORTERS

7

MAJOR IMPORTERS

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7 MAJOR IMPORTERS Japan, South KOREA, SPAIN, USA, FRANCE

7

MAJOR IMPORTERS

Japan, South KOREA, SPAIN, USA, FRANCE

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8 TRADE FLOWS 2005

8

TRADE FLOWS 2005

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8 TRADE FLOWS 2030

8

TRADE FLOWS 2030

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Enabling factors The tendency to reduce the cost of production, because

Enabling factors

The tendency to reduce the cost of production, because

improved liquefaction technology Rising consumption of GHG (up to 145 trillion by 2015). The share of LNG ~ 5% (2001), 19% (to 2011) Market development of spot transactions (1997 - 3% of all contracts awarded in 2009 - 20%)
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constraints The high cost of LNG compared to coal and oil

constraints

The high cost of LNG compared to coal and oil
Attractiveness of

the traditional gas (cheaper), (under construction onshore and subsea pipelines)
Alternative fuels (GTL)
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The share of LNG - 97% The main supplier - Indonesia,

The share of LNG - 97% The main supplier - Indonesia, as

well: Australia, Brunei, Malaysia, UAE and USA. 1996 - contract with Qatargas for 25 years (6 million tons of LNG per year) There are 23 LNG receiving terminals with total capacity of 188.3 million tons (260 billion m3)

JAPAN

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Dynamic of LNG COST of PRODUCTION

Dynamic of LNG COST of PRODUCTION

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9 PRICES Million. Btu - British thermal unit 0.252 kcal

9

PRICES

Million. Btu - British thermal unit 0.252 kcal

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9 Btu - British thermal unit 0.252 kcal 1kcal=3.97Btu 49257899069014 Btu

9

Btu - British thermal unit 0.252 kcal 1kcal=3.97Btu
49257899069014 Btu =

1Gt LNG
1 Gm³= 0.72449999997491Gt LNG
1 tn LNG=51.6ммBtu

Dollars Btu

PRICES