Federal and Regional Politics in Science and Education

Содержание

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KEY WORDS Mathematical modeling Taxonomy Hypotheses of compactness Personal activity Postgraduate

KEY WORDS

Mathematical modeling
Taxonomy
Hypotheses of compactness
Personal activity
Postgraduate training
Doctorate
Forecasting system
Analogue

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF

MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)
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THE AIM OF THE PROJECT: Creation of mathematical model and the

THE AIM OF THE PROJECT:

Creation of mathematical model and the corresponding

software for forecasting students’ personal progress in postgraduate vocational training

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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PROJECT TASKS: Questioning of post-graduate and doctorate students of Higher Educational

PROJECT TASKS:

Questioning of post-graduate and doctorate students of Higher Educational Institution

and Database forming
Working out of post-graduate and doctorate students’ personal activity forecasting technology
Working out of methodic estimation of adequacy of ideal choice
Working out of program means’ support of the created technology
Input of the complex into experimental exploitation, the algorithmic and software regulation

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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DATA BASE STRUCTURE QUESTIONNAIRE THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

DATA BASE STRUCTURE

QUESTIONNAIRE

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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FORECASTING TECHNOLOGY All postgraduate students are divided into three groups: According

FORECASTING TECHNOLOGY

All postgraduate students are divided into three groups:
According to

the rule of “nearest neighbor” the analogue is determined among postgraduate and doctorate student
Owing to heterogeneity of attributes, the hypothesis of λ-compactness is used
The forecast is made on the basis of found analogue characteristics

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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METHOD’S CONCEPT Attribute № 1 Attribute № 2 Attribute № 3

METHOD’S CONCEPT

Attribute № 1

Attribute № 2

Attribute № 3

L (p, h) –

distance between an object and an analogue

Criterion – minimum distance value:

p

Analogue – h

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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MATHEMATICAL MODEL Designations: n – taxon’s number Z(q, i) – Boolean

MATHEMATICAL MODEL

Designations:
n – taxon’s number
Z(q, i) – Boolean variable, equal to

“1”, if qth-object belongs to an ith-taxon,
otherwise it is equal to “0”
p – identifiable object
r(q, p) – distance between qth and pth objects in λ-space

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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SOLVING ALGORITHM Step 1. ; Step 2. Step 3. If ,

SOLVING ALGORITHM

Step 1. ;
Step 2.
Step 3. If , then go to step

5; otherwise –
go to step 4;
Step 4. , go to step 2;
Step 5. If , then ,
otherwise ;
Step 6. The end of algorithm.

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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EXAMPLE OF RECOGNITION OT THE OBJECT Students who didn’t defended their

EXAMPLE OF RECOGNITION OT THE OBJECT

Students who didn’t defended their thesis

Students

who defended their thesis during the postgraduate course

Students who defended their thesis after the postgraduate course

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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PROJECT RESULTS 269 postgraduate students have been questioned. 27 % of

PROJECT RESULTS

269 postgraduate students have been questioned. 27 % of them

have finished their education.

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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FORECAST RESULTS The forecast was made of 73% of the questioned

FORECAST RESULTS

The forecast was made of 73% of the questioned postgraduate

students

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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PROGRAM INTERFACE Tuning of ways THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

PROGRAM INTERFACE

Tuning of ways

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL

UNIVERSITY)
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PROGRAM INTERFACE Editing information about a postgraduate student THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE

PROGRAM INTERFACE

Editing information about a postgraduate student

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING

AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)
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PROGRAM INTERFACE Solution searching THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

PROGRAM INTERFACE

Solution searching

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

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PROGRAM INTERFACE Calculation results THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)

PROGRAM INTERFACE

Calculation results

THE NORTH-CAUCASIAN INSTITUTE OF MINING AND METALLURGY (STATE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY)