Basic concepts in epidemiology

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OUTLINE OF THE LECTURE Models of disease causation Epidemiologic triad concept

OUTLINE OF THE LECTURE

Models of disease causation
Epidemiologic triad concept
The natural

history of disease
Chain of transmission
The iceberg phenomena
Herd immunity
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What is the disease ?

What is the disease ?

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What is the definition of the disease ? A satisfactory definition

What is the definition of the disease ?

A satisfactory definition

of disease is yet to be found
Dictionary defines disease as:
a condition in which health is impaired or
a departure from a state of health….
Definition of the health:
Is state of well being in which all the components of health are in balance
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Concept of disease causation Supernatural theory of disease Germ theory of disease Ecological theory Multifactorial causation

Concept of disease causation

Supernatural theory of disease
Germ theory of disease
Ecological

theory
Multifactorial causation
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Supernatural theory : In the early past, the disease was thought

Supernatural theory :

In the early past, the disease was thought mainly

due to either the curse of god or due to the evil force of the demons
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Germ theory Germ theory: Microbes (germs) were found to be the cause for many known diseases.

Germ theory

Germ theory: Microbes (germs) were found to be the

cause for many known diseases.
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Ecological theory Around 463 BC, Hippocrates is the first epidemiologist who

Ecological theory

Around 463 BC, Hippocrates is the first epidemiologist who

advised to search the environment for the cause of the disease
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Multifactorial theory Pettenkoffer Stated that agent, host and environmental factors will

Multifactorial theory

Pettenkoffer
Stated that agent, host and environmental factors will act

and interact synergistically causing the disease
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EPIDEMIOLOGICAL TRIANGLE Changes in one of the elements of the triangle

EPIDEMIOLOGICAL TRIANGLE
Changes in one of the elements of the triangle can

influence the occurrence of disease
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The traditional model of disease causation 3 components an external agent

The traditional model of disease causation
3 components
an external agent
a susceptible host
an

environment

Epidemiological triad

Epidemiologic Triad Concepts

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Agent Entity necessary to cause disease in a susceptible host Examples

Agent
Entity necessary to cause disease in a susceptible host
Examples
Biological (bacteria, virus,

parasites, etc)
Physical (radiation, physical force)
Chemical (pollutants, drugs, etc)
Nutrients (nutritional deficiency)

Epidemiological triad

Epidemiologic Triad - Agent

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Epidemiologic Triad - Agent Infectivity – ability to invade a host

Epidemiologic Triad - Agent

Infectivity – ability to invade a host
Pathogenicity –

ability to cause disease
Virulence – ability to cause severe disease or death
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Epidemiologic Triad Concepts Infectivity, Pathogenicity , Virulence all are dependent upon

Epidemiologic Triad Concepts

Infectivity, Pathogenicity , Virulence
all are dependent upon the condition

of the host
? immunity (active, passive)
? nutrition
? adequate rest & sleep
? good hygienic practices

Epidemiologic Triad - Host

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Definition: person/organism that is susceptible to effect of agent Characteristics Genetic

Definition: person/organism that is susceptible to effect of agent
Characteristics
Genetic
specific immunity
socio-demographic
age
sex
ethnicity
occupation
social

class

Epidemiological triad

Epidemiologic Triad - Host

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Definition : Conditions that influence interaction between agent & host Examples

Definition : Conditions that influence interaction between agent & host
Examples
Biological
physical (+

climate) & physical surroundings
social (+ socioeconomic conditions)

environment

Epidemiologic Triad - Environment

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ENVIRONMENT Environmental conditions ? major influence on health status of individuals

ENVIRONMENT

Environmental conditions ? major influence on health status of individuals in

the population

Epidemiologic Triad - Environment

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The Natural History of Disease The progress or course of disease

The Natural History of Disease

The progress or course of disease in

an individual over time without any external inversion .
It has 3 stages :

Natural History of Disease

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Good health Subclinical changes Recovery Death Clinical disease Natural History of Disease Cholera Dengue fever

Good health

Subclinical
changes

Recovery

Death

Clinical
disease

Natural History of Disease

Cholera
Dengue fever

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The Natural History of Disease 1. Stage of susceptibility (before onset

The Natural History of Disease

1. Stage of susceptibility (before onset

of disease)
age, sex, occupation, family history,Weight (obesity), smoking
2. Stage of exposure to the agent
3. Stage of subclinical disease
etiologic agent present in the body but has not caused any visible symptoms or signs of disease.
4. Stage of clinical
5. Recovery or death

Natural History of Disease

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Incubation Period Interval between time of contact and/or entry of agent

Incubation Period

Interval between time of contact and/or entry of agent and

onset of illness
Time required for microorganism to multiply within the host up to a threshold where the microorganism population is large enough to produce symptoms and/or signs of disease

Incubation Period

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Dynamics of Disease Transmission Transmissible Infectious diseases Genetic diseases Non-Transmissible Many

Dynamics of Disease Transmission

Transmissible
Infectious diseases
Genetic diseases

Non-Transmissible
Many chronic diseases, eg : diabetes

and cancer,
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Mode of Transmission Definition: mechanism through which infective agent move from

Mode of Transmission

Definition: mechanism through which infective agent move from reservoir

to susceptible host
Direct
Indirect
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RESERVOIRS OF INFECTION Definition: habitats where infective agent can survive &

RESERVOIRS OF INFECTION

Definition:
habitats where infective agent can survive & (multiply).
Animals

: zoonoses (animal ? human)
Environment : plants, soil, water
Human : case (person having disease)
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Chain Of Transmission

Chain Of Transmission

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Mode of Transmission Direct: From person-to-person - Sexual contact - Transdermal

Mode of Transmission

Direct:
From person-to-person
- Sexual contact
- Transdermal

- vertical from the mother to the baby
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Mode of Transmission II. Indirect : contaminated vehicles such as food,

Mode of Transmission
II. Indirect :
contaminated vehicles such as food, water,

inert objects (dressings),
- Vector borne (biological, mechanical)
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Transmission of Disease Fomites Inanimate Objects Tissues, towel, drinking glasses, needles

Transmission of Disease

Fomites
Inanimate Objects
Tissues, towel, drinking glasses, needles
Droplet Transmission
Saliva and

Mucus
Coughing, Sneezing, Laughter
Less than 1 Meter
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Mode of Transmission Person-to-person (respiratory, oral, genital, skin, body fluids) Vector

Mode of Transmission

Person-to-person (respiratory, oral, genital, skin, body fluids)
Vector (insects)
Common vehicle

(food, water)
Fomites (contaminated objects)
Intra Venous (blood & blood products)
Transplacental

E.g. tuberculosis, SARS, HIV, measles

E.g. rabies, yellow fever, dengue, malaria

E.g. Salmonellosis, cholera

E.g. nosocomial infection

E.g. malaria, hepatitis B

E.g.rubella, HIV

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Iceberg Phenomena

Iceberg Phenomena

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VISIBLE “TIP OF THE ICEBERG” INVISIBLE DEAD SEVERE CASES CASES (CLINICAL


VISIBLE
“TIP OF THE ICEBERG”

INVISIBLE

DEAD

SEVERE CASES

CASES (CLINICAL ILLNESS)

INVISIBLE CASES
(ASYMPTOMATIC

INFECTION)

ICEBERG PHENOMENA

VARIATION OF SEVERITY OF A DISEASE PROBLEM

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ICEBERG PHENOMENA EXAMPLES: Hepatitis B carriers Cholera carriers HIV/AIDS

ICEBERG PHENOMENA

EXAMPLES:
Hepatitis B carriers
Cholera carriers
HIV/AIDS

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HERD IMMUNITY Definition: immunity or resistance of a HERD (population group

HERD IMMUNITY

Definition: immunity or resistance of a HERD (population group or

community) to a disease
Resistance of a group to invasion & spread of an infective agent is based upon the resistance to infection of a high proportion of individuals in a group
Public Health Implication:
Thus an entire population does not have to be immunized to prevent the occurrence of an epidemic
Example: Measles virus transmission would stop if 70% of the population is immunized
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Source: Timmreck, 1998

Source: Timmreck, 1998

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Source: Timmreck, 1998

Source: Timmreck, 1998

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HERD IMMUNITY If the infectious agent cannot find a susceptible host

HERD IMMUNITY

If the infectious agent cannot find a susceptible host to

infect, then an epidemic would die out.
Once a certain level of protection against a given disease is achieved by a population (probably around 70% - 85%), even the unprotected members are protected because the uninfected population is not large enough to serve as a reservoir
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Herd Immunity Threshold for Selected Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Modified from Am J Prev Med 2001;20(4S): 88-153

Herd Immunity Threshold for Selected Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Modified from Am J Prev

Med 2001;20(4S): 88-153
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SUMMARY

SUMMARY

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