VUR, UTI and antibiotic prophylaxis. How to use an article about therapy or prevention

Содержание

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The Case Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC

The Case

Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC ED

with fever to 102. Your stellar Peds Intern suggests obtaining a UA/UCx, which results in the diagnosis of acute pyelonephritis.
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The Case Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC

The Case

Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC ED

with fever to 102. Your stellar Peds Intern suggests obtaining a UA/UCx, which results in the diagnosis of acute pyelonephritis.
Kali is admitted to Wd51 for 48hrs of IV abx, then, afebrile, discharged to complete po course.
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The Case Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC

The Case

Kali is a 14mo female who presents to WRAMC ED

with fever to 102. Your stellar Peds Intern suggests obtaining a UA/UCx, which results in the diagnosis of acute pyelonephritis.
Kali is admitted to Wd51 for 48hrs of IV abx, then, afebrile, discharged to complete po course.
She undergoes renal US and VCUG 3 weeks later, which reveal grade II VUR on the left.
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The Question Should we treat her prophylactically? Short-term: Will this decrease

The Question

Should we treat her prophylactically?
Short-term:
Will this decrease recurrent infections?
Long-term:
Will this

decrease renal scarring?
Why else would it matter?
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Background Vesicoureteral Reflux (VUR) Primary – congenital incompetence of VU valve

Background

Vesicoureteral Reflux (VUR)
Primary – congenital incompetence of VU valve (shortened submucosal

tunnel)
Secondary – multiple anatomic abnormalities
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Background Incidence 1-10% Siblings 30-45% (3/4 asymptomatic) Diagnosed via VCUG UTI

Background

Incidence 1-10%
Siblings 30-45% (3/4 asymptomatic)
Diagnosed via VCUG
UTI workup – 40%

(girls); 70% (infants <1yo)
Antenatal hydronephrosis – 9% (boys)
Why worry?
VUR ? pyelonephritis ? renal scarring ?
HTN, renal insufficiency, ESRD, pre-eclampsia
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Background Natural hx of VUR: spontaneous resolution UTI ? VUR? ■

Background

Natural hx of VUR: spontaneous resolution
UTI ? VUR? ■ VUR ?

UTI?
VUR ? Pyelo? ■ VUR ? Scarring?
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Current Treatment Recs Workup: Febrile UTI (any age) UTI UTI x2

Current Treatment Recs

Workup:
Febrile UTI (any age)
UTI <5yo
UTI x2 in school-age girls
UTI

in any boy
To treat or not to treat?

Imaging:
Renal US
40% sensitive (VUR)
VCUG
Diagnostic!
DMSA

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AUA Treatment Guidelines

AUA Treatment Guidelines

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Current Treatment Recs AUA Pediatric VUR Guidelines Panel (1997) “The panel

Current Treatment Recs

AUA Pediatric VUR Guidelines Panel (1997)
“The panel recommendations to

offer continuous abx prophylaxis…are based on limited scientific evidence. To our knowledge controlled studies comparing the efficacy of continuous prophylaxis and intermittent therapy on health outcomes…have not been performed.”
No controlled studies?
Then what are we basing treatment on?
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The State of the Art Williams et.al. (2001) Systematic review of

The State of the Art

Williams et.al. (2001)
Systematic review of RCTs on

UTI/abx prophy
Five trials, 1968-1978
Best 2: 71 patients total, normal anatomy, 92% girls
Garin et.al. (1998)
UTI ? VUR? no ■ VUR ? Pyelo?
VUR ? UTI? no ■ Degree VUR ? Scars?
VUR ? Scarring? no
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We Need A Study That… Will help us decide whether or

We Need A Study That…

Will help us decide whether or not

to prophylax this patient
Includes patients with symptomatic VUR
Compares antibiotic prophylaxis to a control
Looks at clinically important outcomes
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Clinical significance of primary vesicoureteral reflux and urinary antibiotic prophylaxis after

Clinical significance of primary vesicoureteral reflux and urinary antibiotic prophylaxis after

acute pyelonephritis: a multicenter, randomized, controlled study.

Garin EH, Olavarria F, Garcia Nieto V, Valenciano B, Campos A, Young L.
Pediatrics 2006;117:626-632.

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Study Questions Does VUR correlate with ?UTI/renal scarring? Does antibiotic prophylaxis correlate with ?UTI/renal scarring?

Study Questions

Does VUR correlate with ?UTI/renal scarring?
Does antibiotic prophylaxis correlate with

?UTI/renal scarring?
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Study Design Randomized, controlled, multicenter trial Inclusion: 3mo-18yo Acute pyelonephritis Exclusion:

Study Design

Randomized, controlled, multicenter trial
Inclusion:
3mo-18yo
Acute pyelonephritis
Exclusion:
Grade IV-V VUR
Anatomic abnormalities
Pregnancy

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Study Design Met inclusion criteria ? VCUG Pyelo treated: IV abx

Study Design

Met inclusion criteria ? VCUG
Pyelo treated: IV abx ? po

for 14-day course
Abx: TMP/SMX or nitrofurantoin for 1 year

VUR

No VUR

Abx

Abx

No Abx

No Abx

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Follow Up At entry: UA/UCx, DMSA, VCUG, Renal US At Q3mo

Follow Up

At entry: UA/UCx, DMSA, VCUG, Renal US
At Q3mo clinic visit:

UA/UCx
At 6mo: DMSA
At 12mo: VCUG, Renal US
Endpoints:
Recurrent UTI
Renal scarring
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Study Results

Study Results

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Analysis of Results Fisher’s Exact Test 2x2 comparison tables Control vs.

Analysis of Results

Fisher’s Exact Test
2x2 comparison tables
Control vs. variable
Smaller sample size
Gives

p value
Does not give CI
Goal: p<.05!

http://www.childrensmercy.org/stats/ask/fishers.asp

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Study Results Recurrence of UTIs Timing Type Recurrent Pyelonephritis & Antibiotics

Study Results

Recurrence of UTIs
Timing
Type
Recurrent Pyelonephritis & Antibiotics
Recurrent Pyelonephritis & VUR Degree
Renal

Scarring
VUR
Antibiotics
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Study Results Recurrence of UTI Overall – 20.1% VUR not significant

Study Results

Recurrence of UTI
Overall – 20.1%
VUR not significant
No abx (p=.9999)
VUR –

22.4%
No VUR – 23.3%
Abx (p=0.633)
VUR – 23.6%
No VUR – 8.8%

Type of Recurrence
Cystitis (no p value)
VUR – 8.6%
No VUR – 13.3%
Pyelonephritis (p=.3781)
VUR – 7.1%
No VUR – 3.8%

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Study Results Recurrent Pyelo and Antibiotics No benefit of abx (p=.0291)

Study Results

Recurrent Pyelo and Antibiotics
No benefit of abx (p=.0291)
7:1 abx:none
Recurrent Pyelo

and VUR Degree
6/8 Grade III (cystitis: 46%)
2/8 Grade II (cystitis: 40%)
4/4 pts without VUR
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Study Results Renal Scarring No evidence VUR? increased scarring (p=.9999) VUR

Study Results

Renal Scarring
No evidence VUR? increased scarring (p=.9999)
VUR (6.2%) = No

VUR (5.7%)
Abx (7.0%) = No Abx (5.1%)
Grade I VUR – 5.3% with scars
Grade II VUR – 5.2%
Grade III VUR – 13.5%
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Study Conclusions Mild/moderate VUR not associated with ?UTI, pyelonephritis, or scarring

Study Conclusions

Mild/moderate VUR not associated with ?UTI, pyelonephritis, or scarring
Antibiotic prophylaxis

not associated with ?UTI, pyeloneprhitis, or scarring
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Critically Evaluating… (JAMA Users’ Guide) Are the results valid? What were

Critically Evaluating… (JAMA Users’ Guide)

Are the results valid?
What were the results?
Will the

results help me to take care of my patient?
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Are the results valid? Primary Guides Was the assignment of patients

Are the results valid? Primary Guides

Was the assignment of patients to treatment

randomized? YES.
Were all who entered the study accounted for?
Was follow-up complete?
NO. Enrolled 236, lost 18
Lost from what groups?
Would this change results?
Were patients analyzed in the groups assigned to?
NO. Exclusion of noncompliants
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Are the results valid? Secondary Guides Were pts, clinicians, & study

Are the results valid? Secondary Guides

Were pts, clinicians, & study personnel blinded?
NO

(no blinding to +/- VUR, abx; no placebos)
Were groups similar at start, & treated equally?
YES (age, gender, degree of reflux)
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What were the results? How large was the treatment effect? ARR

What were the results?

How large was the treatment effect?
ARR – risk

difference of variable vs. control
RRR – variable reduced risk by Z% relative to that occurring in control patients; bigger = better!
For example, in presence of VUR:
23.6% of those on abx developed UTI (X%)
22.4% without abx developed UTI (Y%)
ARR = X-Y = .236-.224 = .012
RRR = (1-Y/X)x100% = (1-.224/.236)x100% = 5.1%
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What were the results? How large was the treatment effect? ARR/RRR

What were the results?

How large was the treatment effect?
ARR/RRR not reported!
How

precise was the estimated treatment effect?
Confidence Intervals (CIs) not reported!
95% CI:
Range that includes the true RRR 95% of time
Positive? Negative? Zero?
Statistically vs. clinically significant results
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What were the results? POWER! Ability of a study to detect

What were the results?

POWER!
Ability of a study to detect a true

difference
Directly related to sample size
1-β (β = type II error)
Study powered to detect a clinically significant difference of 20% (power 80%), 95% CI
Need 60/group = 240 subjects
Enrolled 236, Completed 218
“POWER : research design :: SENSITIVITY : diagnostic test”
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Will the results help me take care of my patient? Can

Will the results help me take care of my patient?

Can the

results be applied? YES.
Could Kali have been enrolled?
All clinically important outcomes considered? YES.
Substitute endpoints vs. “POEMS”
Adverse effects on other outcomes
Are likely benefits worth potential harms/risks?
NNT = 1/ARR
Consider baseline risk without intervention
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Criticisms: Study Population What about Present earlier = Higher-grade reflux? Already

Criticisms: Study Population

What about <3mo?
Present earlier = Higher-grade reflux? Already abx?
Included

in study?
Exclusion of noncompliants?
Exclusion of pyelonephritis x2?
Initial presentation with cystitis?
Febrile UTI without DMSA changes?
How many therefore excluded?
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Criticisms: Study Design DMSA as inclusion criteria (multicenter)? Account for 18

Criticisms: Study Design

DMSA as inclusion criteria (multicenter)?
Account for 18 lost before study

end?
Unknown prognostic factors
Recalculate results assuming they did well/poorly
Blinding of patients/personnel?
Placebo
Diagnosis
Larger sample size?
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Criticisms: Data Analysis Reporting of CIs, ARR/RRR? Magnitude/precision of treatment effect

Criticisms: Data Analysis

Reporting of CIs, ARR/RRR?
Magnitude/precision of treatment effect
Rule in/out effect different

from Ho
Data crunching using Chi-Square?
Different data combinations?
Did not achieve POWER
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Further Questions… UTI prophylaxis vs. intermittent therapy? And risk of renal

Further Questions…

UTI prophylaxis vs. intermittent therapy?
And risk of renal scarring
Over time,

given resolution VUR
Larger sample size
VUR in context of abnormal anatomy?
Mechanism of scarring in pyelonephritis?
What else?
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Back to our patient… What would you do? Call Dr.Cartwright and

Back to our patient…

What would you do?
Call Dr.Cartwright and Dr.Lechner and

get those patients enrolled!
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References Atala A, Keating MA. Vesicoureteral reflux and megaureter. In Campbell’s

References

Atala A, Keating MA. Vesicoureteral reflux and megaureter. In Campbell’s Urology

Vol 2, 7th ed. Philadelphia: WB Saunders 1988.
Behrman Re, Kliegman RB, Jenson HB. Nelson Textbook of Pediatrics, 17th ed. Philadelphia: Saunders, 2004.
Biggi A et.al. Prognostic value of the acute DMSA scan in children with first urinary tract infection. Pediatr Nephrol 2001;16:800-804.
Bjorgvinsson E, Majd M, Eggli KD. Diagnosis of acute pyelonephritis in children: comparison of sonography and 99mTc-DMSA scintigraphy. Am J Roentgenol 1991;157(3):539-543.
Dawson B, Trapp RG. Basic and clinical biostatistics, 3rd ed. New York: Lange Medical Books 2001.
DeSadeeler C et.al. A multicenter trial on interobserver reproducibility in reporting on 99mTc-DMSA planer scintigraphy: a Belgian survey. J Nucl Med 2000;41(1):23-26.
Elder JS et.al. Pediatric vesicoureteral reflux guidelines panel summary report on the management of primary vesicoureteral reflux in children. J Urol 1997;157(5):1846-1851.
Garin EH et.al. Clinical significance of primary vesicoureteral reflux and urinary antibiotic prophylaxis after acute pyelonephritis: a multicenter, randomized, controlled study. Pediatrics 2006;117:626-632.
Garin EH, Campos A, Homsy Y. Primary vesicoureteral reflux: review of current concepts. Pediatr Nephrol 1998;12:249-256.